An article by highly respected
Naval author Mike Critchley over at the Portsmouth News (inspired me to write
this piece (link is HERE)
It talks on part about how the UK should look to the US to buy more ‘off the
shelf’ equipment to try and bring more into service at a lower overall cost.
On paper buying American is
often cited alongside ‘just do Commercial Off the Shelf’ (COTS) as a great way
of saving the MOD money and enabling the UK to get more bang for its buck. I
must be honest though and say that I fundamentally disagree that always buying
American is the right solution.
The usual premise is that
there is a way that UK could go to the US and get vastly cheaper equipment
compared to the so-called gold plated requirements of the MOD. The often cited
case is either the Blackhawk, which supposedly was offered to the UK for a very
cheap sum some years ago to fill the support helicopter requirement on HERRICK,
or the Arleigh Burke destroyer, which has been block built now for 30 years and
unit costs are reduced greatly. It’s a great idea isn’t it – buy cheap and then
just throw the cheap kit into service.
The problems with this
argument start with the fact that the so-called ‘cheap blackhawk’ was nothing
of the sort. US equipment prices for US kit often doesn’t include fairly
important things like the engine, as they’re counted as ‘Government Furnished
Equipment’ and procured separately then mated into the design. Then you need to
add in all the so-called ‘bells and whistles’ like communications equipment,
kit that is operable with UK requirements and so on, and integrate all the
software on the airframe or ship. Software and equipment integration is
seriously challenging and the reason costs rise – its all very well saying ‘stick
the following pieces of kit on a design’ but if they can’t talk to each other,
can’t fight as part of an integrated combat management system or worse actively
degrade the performance of other capabilities, then its going to be messy and
expensive to fix.
This is of course not taking
into account the complete lack of a US spares chain in the UK, which would need
to be brought in from scratch, the lack of suitably qualified personnel to
operate and maintain the airframe or ship, and the lack of support and
maintenance facilities to run them from. All of this can be brought into
service, but it comes at a cost, and arguably by the time this is factored in,
the cost is equal to or often greater than buying British.
Its often forgotten that in
the 1990s the RN looked seriously at purchasing some Ticonderoga class cruisers
to cover the air defence gap during the T42/NATO Frigate/CNGF/T45 replacement
problems. Reportedly one of the reasons for rejection was the sheer cost
involved of integrating several very different and non standard vessels into
the RN, with the considerable headache of how to solve the manpower and supply
chain issues just to operate them all, let alone software and communications
integration.
USS ARLEIGH BURKE (DDG 51) |
Lets assume though that the RN
puts forward a case to bolster its force through the purchase of four Arleigh
Burke class destroyers. They’re yesterdays technology of course, as the US has
struggled to get any credible new build designs into serial production for
decades now, but they’re still a capable and potent vessel.
To even buy American means
negotiating the challenging hurdle of getting past the ‘Foreign Military Sales’
(FMS) case and getting Congressional approval to do so. In simple terms, to
buy, support and operate a new build ship from the US means placing your independence
and sovereignty in the hands of the US Government in perpetuity. If their
largesse is lost, and they refuse to approve sales, then the UK ability to
operate a vessel is arguably lost.
Similarly, FMS places in
American hands the ability to decree the purchase rate for spare parts and
equipment. It is bought at the pace dictated by the US, perhaps to support
operational needs, but often arguably in the name of supporting the US defence
industry and congressional districts. To keep operating the equipment means
buying what you are told, when you are told, and directly subsidising the US
and not UK industry in the process.
Of course you could try and
buy a non-standard DDG51 and kit it out to UK standards- to do this would mean
taking the design, ripping out all the US bits you don’t want and then putting
UK bits in. However this may not be approved by the FMS case, and more
importantly adds an enormous bill to the cost as you take a design intended to
work one way and try to make it work very differently again.
Then you have to look at the
wider industrial implications – its not just the big suppliers who matter, but
the small-medium enterprises that really need consistent support to survive. If
you suddenly announce that the bulk of your naval construction work for years
to come is being divested to the US, these companies financial ability to
survive, to create new technology and to be present to bid when the UK build
orders come again is doubtful. The margins are extremely tight in the defence
sector, and its possible that a move to buying American could cause a lot of
them to go under. You may buy American to save money, but in turn, you may be
forced into a long term relationship as your specialist suppliers no longer
exist in the domestic industrial market.
You have then to consider the
national sovereignty argument – one reason the UK relies on UK built capability
is because it gives freedom of action and manoeuvre to upgrade the hulls, to
place whatever systems you like on them and to grow the platform to meet your
own national requirements. Many US FMS sales don’t work like this – the customer
is provided with a sealed box, or US staff to operate it. To even open the
seals is to risk the entire relationship falling apart, and if you’ve not got
an industry to turn to then that can be difficult. Essentially you as a nation
have no say over the electronic components that the US provides, how they are
serviced and you have no ability to influence them or know how to upgrade or
modify them. To buy American can be to risk a high level of national
independence in the trade off to acquire short term capability.
The real problem is that while
its easy to assume the country you buy from will always be your ally, times
change. Russia is experiencing problems after the change in the global
situation saw the collapse of its purchase of Mistral class LPDs, which are now
going to Egypt. Instead Russia is scrambling around trying to invent a new
design which may (or based on their track record) may not enter service some
years from now. Russia is also reliant on the Ukraine for many engine parts for
their navy – the ongoing tensions there means that the supply of parts no
longer happens, and in time the Russian navy is going to struggle to keep
itself at sea. Purchasing overseas can save money, and give early access to
capability that is otherwise unobtainable, but it does come at a price.
Finally, even if the
destroyers entered UK service, you’d need to carefully consider how to
integrate such a vastly different design into the UK concept. Assuming the
brief is to save money, by bringing 4 US standard DDG51s over, they would have
totally different crew concepts of employment communications, propulsion, NBCD,
combat systems, weapons, munitions, helicopters, accommodation, life support
and other issues to name but a few. The RN has historically struggled to work
out what to do with ‘Orphan classes’ (e.g. HMS MERMAID) as they often rely more
support than is possible or effective to do (hence the move to just two ship
classes at present – namely to save money).
Don’t forget of course that
you are reliant on the vagaries of the US supply chain, and that if a war occurred,
the chances are that you’d go to the bottom of the priority pile, with US
assets taking priority. Is the UK comfortable that it may not get the spare
parts it needs to keep a ship at sea and that it will always play second string
to the US Navy in this respect? What happens if the UK went to war on a national
issue (e.g. Falklands) and found the US Government wasn’t willing to provide
the spare parts needed?
If on the other hand you then
wanted to kit the vessels out to a UK standard, the question is where to start?
Who is paying for the integration work for the vessels, is modification covered
by the sales agreement? What are the ITAR (technology transfer regulation)
implications of such a move and how would it happen? To take just one simple
example, putting a UK secure IT network for UK EYES ONLY material onto the ship
would mean changing the entire IT capability, bolting on new kit that the ship wasn’t
designed or intended to carry and coming at considerable cost. That’s just to
send an email from the ship, let alone fight it.
There is the wider issue too
as to whether the US values client states in the same way as it values genuine
partners. The reason the UK brings value to the US is its ability to provide
operationally independent capability capable of war fighting at the very
highest level without recourse to others for help. This is merged with world
class industry and an ability to produce genuinely innovative solutions to
capability problems – often taken up or mirrored by the US and other allies.
To move to a more client state
relationship in order to put more ships at sea more cheaply would fundamentally
mean changing the nature of the UK relationship with the US, threatening the
independence and the ability to add value in the same way. Arguably an RN
operating DDG51s is not in the best interest of the USN for a variety of
reasons.
There will always be some
element of exporting equipment in from other countries, and the UK does use a
lot of US derived equipment in some areas. But it pays to prevent yourself from being too
beholden on one nation for support – not only does it not save money, but it
significantly constrains your freedom of action and ability to operate without
the active approval and support of a foreign nation. Some smaller powers are
prepared to make this trade off, knowing that their own industrial base is more
limited, or that the realistic prospect of their taking unilateral action is so
slight as to not be worth it.
Its fair to say buying
national capability seems expensive, but when costed up is arguably no less
expensive than buying from the US and adapting the kit to meet UK standards –
its just the headline figures that are cheaper. To buy US to save money is an
alluring argument, but one that is fundamentally built on dangerous assumptions
that could pose a real challenge to the ongoing ability of the Royal Navy to
work effectively on operations. It should not be encouraged.
Economics (and eventually common sense )will prevail.The UK shipbuilding industry is dead; the skeletal remains cannot be kept alive merely by the Navy building new ships every 10 years or so.Canada is in much the same position, and spends excessive amounts on "home- grown " ships,
ReplyDeleteAl,
ReplyDeleteHe justed explained it is not about Economics. If not every country would be buying off the shelf.